NFL London Betting Odds: Trust In Trevor, Fade The Bears

• The Jacksonville Jaguars are two-point underdogs against the Chicago Bears in London.
• Passing props for Trevor Lawrence and Caleb Williams are nearly identical.
• Past results from the season and the media may be influencing player props.

LONDON – In a battle of number 1 picks in London, the Jacksonville Jaguars play their first of a two-game London slate against the Chicago Bears.

Trevor Lawrence and Caleb Williams will be the quarterbacks attempting to get a win at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, where the Bears are favorites of two points and -130 on the moneyline.

This is now the third time Williams and the Bears have been favored, to which they’ve gone 3-0 straight up and against the spread.

Past Results When Bears Favored

While they have had great success in these games, their opponents could be misleading the trends and ultimately the odds as well. All three wins came against teams with bottom-eight offenses this year.

While Jacksonville is ranked 21 and not much better, their string of opponents makes sense as to why their numbers are poor.

Jacksonville Opponents

While the Bears have the fifth-ranked defense, letting up the seventh-best yards per game, much of this can be attributed to creating turnovers. Creating seven in the last three games, injuries, and bad quarterback play could have done a lot to help the Bears.

In reality, the Bears are letting up five yards a play, and have seen 119+ rushing yards against them in four of five games.

With this, player props on Tank Bigsby and Travis Etienne may be undervalued.

On a downward trend since Week 2, Etienne is projected to rush for only 44.5 yards – a number he has beaten every game except in Week 1. While Bigsby showed him up last week, NFL sportsbooks are hesitant to set a line on Bigsby.

NFL London Prop Bets: Travis Etienne Rushing Yards

• Over 44.5 -110
• Under 44.5 -110

Regardless, bet on Travis Etienne to rush over 44.5 yards.

The back-to-back 1000-yard rusher is averaging over four yards a carry over his last 25 games and has only fumbled the ball once. This ball security shouldn’t have Bigsby stealing too many of the carries.

Even further, Bigsby recorded 23 snaps last week (14 touches) – both career highs for him. Don’t get swept in the recent news, lock in this Etienne prop bet.

Quarterback Play

While the intro with the running backs is a good start, we all know it’s the quarterback props that everyone really focuses on.

This will be Caleb Williams’ first game in London, but Lawrence will be making his fifth start there. In those games, he’s recorded 1 TD every time, with a decent amount of passing yards behind him.

Trevor Lawrence London Games

At legal sports betting sites, Lawrence is a strong favorite to throw under 1.5 touchdowns. Likewise, he’s a strong candidate for throwing over 0.5 interceptions.

My advice? Take the underdog wager in both scenarios.

Trevor Lawrence London Prop Bets

• Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns +115
• Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns -150
• Over 0.5 Interceptions Thrown -145
• Under 0.5 Interceptions Thrown +110

Assuming even a decent game, Lawrence should make one of these bets hit. As they are both underdogs, if you bet on both, you would only need one to hit to make a (very small) profit.

Caleb Williams Prop Bets

As for the Caleb Williams props in London, they are almost identical to that of Lawrence.

But the one bet we’re focused on is Caleb Williams odds to throw for 234.5 passing yards. Williams is averaging 218 yards per game, but with three moments hitting well below this projection, it’s clear his two 300+ yard passing games are inflating his average.

Even further, in both of those 300+ yard passing games, the Bears recorded 72 and 90 offensive snaps. Remove these two matchups, and the Bears are closer to 62 offensive snaps a game.

The Bears throw the ball on 57.3% of plays so this puts Williams near 35.5 passing attempts. At 6.24 yards per attempt, Williams could be closer to 228 passing yards, making the under a strong play.

No matter how you bet on the Bears and Jaguars in London, take advantage of player props at Bovada and other online sportsbooks that offer a range of bets not found on DraftKings, FanDuel, Hard Rock, and other legal sports betting sites in the US.

News tags: Bovada | Caleb Williams | Chicago Bears | DraftKings | FanDuel | Hard Rock | Jacksonville Jaguars | NFL | NFL London | Tank Bigsby | Tottenham Hotspur Stadium | Travis Etienne | Trevor Lawrence